Background

The story behind the signals.

edgio was born from a simple question: Can you make systematically better portfolio decisions?

Why edgio?

Most portfolio tools show you what happened. Performance charts, sector breakdown, historical returns. That's useful, but it doesn't answer the question that actually matters: How is my portfolio really doing?

Trackers like Parqet and getquin are great at visualizing your portfolio. But they don't give you signals. They don't tell you whether your risk-reward balance is starting to tilt or whether the market is showing stress indicators that affect your holdings.

edgio fills that gap. We take quantitative research, the kind of analysis normally reserved for institutional investors, and make it accessible. Without requiring you to be a quant yourself. Without a black box. With full transparency on every indicator and every threshold.

“As a fund manager I worked on investment decisions and saw which data and tools are taken for granted there. Private investors lack them. With edgio I am making part of that public, for everyone who makes their own decisions.”
Marvin Waraschitz
Founder of edgio
LinkedIn profile →
Research

71 research rounds. Documented.

Twelve weeks of research, recorded round by round.

  • Every hypothesis documented, including the failed ones.
  • No cherry-picking.
  • No after-the-fact adjustments.
  • Every configuration checked in 12 of 12 test periods.
Research rounds
71
Stocks & ETFs tested
148
Portfolios
64
Walk-forward
12/12
  1. 01Phase 1

    Foundation & Exploration

    • Data pipeline with 12+ years of daily price data established
    • Dozens of approaches systematically tested, the majority rejected
    • Backtesting framework without future data: decisions rely strictly on historical prices
    • Robust core architecture for signal computation and risk assessment designed
  2. 02Phase 2

    Validation

    • Tested on unseen tickers, not just the data it was developed on
    • Portfolio-level tests with real-world costs and interest rates
    • Multiple optimization approaches systematically tested and compared
    • Independent replication on a separate dataset confirms stability
  3. 03Phase 3

    Statistical Hardening

    • Walk-forward analysis: every single year must pass independently
    • Statistical significance test confirmed: results are not random (p < 0.001)
    • Crash protection validated in downturns
    • Survivorship bias checked and found to be non-material
  4. 04Phase 4

    Ongoing Optimization

    • Current engine in production, every improvement goes through historical validation
    • Research infrastructure permanently available for new hypotheses

Note

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Insights

What we learned

Three key findings from 71 research rounds. Not what we expected, but what the data showed.

  1. 01

    The engine stays deliberately simple.

    A fixed parameter set with clear thresholds, identical for every user. No black box, no model that adapts itself per ticker.

  2. 02

    Signals are a tool, not a guarantee.

    Not every portfolio benefits equally from rule-based signals. edgio shows you the analysis for your own portfolio and leaves the decision to you.

  3. 03

    The engine uses universal instead of per-ticker parameters.

    Every user gets the same, broadly tested configuration instead of values individually tuned per ticker.

Honest limits

Where we can't help

Honesty is part of our product. Here are the cases where edgio is not the right tool.

Extreme trend assets

Tesla, Bitcoin, MSTR, meme stocks. Any systematic exit algorithm tends to hurt with these assets. The volatility is too high for rule-based signals.

Day trading

Our strategy signals operate on daily granularity with a multi-day rebalancing cycle. They are not designed for intraday trading.

Crypto, options & commodity futures

Cryptocurrencies, options, and pure commodity futures are not supported. Our signals are calibrated for stocks and ETFs traded on regulated markets.

Tax optimization

The tax implications of rebalancing depend on your personal situation. That is your tax advisor's job, not ours.

Other tools claim they work for everyone. We tell you where we can prove it, and where we can't.

Privacy

How we handle your data

Your signal analysis runs in your browser. Core data is stored on EU servers. We never get your credentials and do not change data in connected services.

Security & privacy in detail
In your own portfolio

See for yourself.

No promises. No black box. Just data and transparency.

Free
  • Your own portfolio with up to 3 positions: score, risk and diversification
  • Up to 5 titles on the watchlist, with score and 16 signals
  • Weekly overview by email
With Pro
  • Up to 50 positions in up to 10 portfolios
  • An email as soon as a signal of your positions turns
  • Backtesting the levels with your own portfolio
  • Risk budget with your own loss floor

No credit card · 7-day Pro trial · Your data stays with you