The story behind the signals.
edgio was born from a simple question: Can you make systematically better portfolio decisions?
Why edgio?
Most portfolio tools show you what happened. Performance charts, sector breakdown, historical returns. That's useful, but it doesn't answer the question that actually matters: How is my portfolio really doing?
Trackers like Parqet and getquin are great at visualizing your portfolio. But they don't give you signals. They don't tell you whether your risk-reward balance is starting to tilt or whether the market is showing stress indicators that affect your holdings.
edgio fills that gap. We take quantitative research, the kind of analysis normally reserved for institutional investors, and make it accessible. Without requiring you to be a quant yourself. Without a black box. With full transparency on every indicator and every threshold.
“I've been investing for years and always tried to build the same knowledge edge the big houses have. During my studies and later as a fund manager, where I worked on the investment decisions, I saw up close how things really run behind the scenes, which tools and data are taken for granted there and simply missing for retail investors. With edgio, I'm bringing a piece of that edge to the public, for people who want to make their own decisions.”
Marvin Waraschitz
LinkedIn profile→71 research rounds. Documented.
71 research rounds over 12 weeks. Every hypothesis documented, including the failed ones. No cherry-picking, no after-the-fact adjustments.
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Research rounds
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Stocks & ETFs
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Portfolios
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Walk-forward
Foundation
Foundation & Exploration
Phase 1
- Data pipeline with 12+ years of daily price data established
- Dozens of approaches systematically tested, the majority rejected
- Backtesting framework without future data: decisions rely strictly on historical prices
- Robust core architecture for signal computation and risk assessment designed
Validation
Validation
Phase 2
- Tested on unseen tickers, not just the data it was developed on
- Portfolio-level tests with real-world costs and interest rates
- Multiple optimization approaches systematically tested and compared
- Independent replication on a separate dataset confirms stability
Hardening
Statistical Hardening
Phase 3
- Walk-forward analysis: every single year must pass independently
- Statistical significance test confirmed: results are not random (p < 0.001)
- Crash protection validated in downturns
- Survivorship bias checked and found to be non-material
Ongoing
Ongoing Optimization
Phase 4
- Current engine in production, every improvement goes through historical validation
- Research infrastructure permanently available for new hypotheses
Every round documented. Every result reproducible. No result adjusted after the fact.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
What we learned
Three key findings from 71 research rounds. Not what we expected, but what the data showed.
“The engine stays deliberately simple.”
A fixed parameter set with clear thresholds, identical for every user. No black box, no model that adapts itself per ticker.
“Signals are a tool, not a guarantee.”
Not every portfolio benefits equally from rule-based signals. edgio shows you the analysis for your own portfolio and leaves the decision to you.
“The engine uses universal instead of per-ticker parameters.”
Every user gets the same, broadly tested configuration instead of values individually tuned per ticker.
Where we can't help
Honesty is part of our product. Here are the cases where edgio is not the right tool.
Extreme trend assets
Tesla, Bitcoin, MSTR, meme stocks. Any systematic exit algorithm tends to hurt with these assets. The volatility is too high for rule-based signals.
Day trading
Our strategy signals operate on daily granularity with a multi-day rebalancing cycle. They are not designed for intraday trading.
Crypto, options & commodity futures
Cryptocurrencies, options, and pure commodity futures are not supported. Our signals are calibrated for stocks and ETFs traded on regulated markets.
Tax optimization
The tax implications of rebalancing depend on your personal situation. That is your tax advisor's job, not ours.
Other tools claim they work for everyone. We tell you where we can prove it, and where we can't.
How we handle your data
Your signal analysis runs in your browser. Core data is stored on EU servers. We have no access to your brokerage account and cannot buy or sell anything.
Security & privacy in detail→See for yourself.
No promises. No black box. Just data and transparency.
No credit card · 7-day Pro trial · Your data stays with you